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Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Aditya Birla Money Limited's (NSE:BIRLAMONEY) Earnings Despite 30% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, Aditya Birla Money Limited (NSE:BIRLAMONEY) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 96% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, Aditya Birla Money may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.3x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 33x and even P/E's higher than 63x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Aditya Birla Money has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Aditya Birla Money
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Aditya Birla Money, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Aditya Birla Money would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 99% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 273% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Aditya Birla Money's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Shares in Aditya Birla Money are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Aditya Birla Money currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Aditya Birla Money (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Aditya Birla Money, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:BIRLAMONEY
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.