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Earnings Working Against Almondz Global Securities Limited's (NSE:ALMONDZ) Share Price Following 26% Dive
Almondz Global Securities Limited (NSE:ALMONDZ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 25%, which is great even in a bull market.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Almondz Global Securities' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 26x and even P/E's above 50x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For instance, Almondz Global Securities' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Almondz Global Securities
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Almondz Global Securities' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 47%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 31% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Almondz Global Securities' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Almondz Global Securities' P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Almondz Global Securities revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Almondz Global Securities you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Almondz Global Securities' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ALMONDZ
Adequate balance sheet with questionable track record.