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Even With A 26% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Authum Investment & Infrastructure Limited's (NSE:AIIL) Performance Completely
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Limited (NSE:AIIL) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Even after such a large jump in price, Authum Investment & Infrastructure's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 25x and even P/E's above 49x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For example, consider that Authum Investment & Infrastructure's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Authum Investment & Infrastructure
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Authum Investment & Infrastructure's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 14%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 501% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Authum Investment & Infrastructure's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Authum Investment & Infrastructure's P/E
Even after such a strong price move, Authum Investment & Infrastructure's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Authum Investment & Infrastructure currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Authum Investment & Infrastructure that you need to take into consideration.
You might be able to find a better investment than Authum Investment & Infrastructure. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure
A non-banking finance company, engages in various investment and lending activities in India and internationally.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.
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