Stock Analysis

Jubilant FoodWorks (NSE:JUBLFOOD) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NSEI:JUBLFOOD
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Jubilant FoodWorks Limited (NSE:JUBLFOOD) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Jubilant FoodWorks

What Is Jubilant FoodWorks's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Jubilant FoodWorks had ₹14.9b of debt, an increase on ₹1.86b, over one year. However, it also had ₹1.52b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹13.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:JUBLFOOD Debt to Equity History December 5th 2024

How Strong Is Jubilant FoodWorks' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jubilant FoodWorks had liabilities of ₹19.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹40.7b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹1.52b in cash and ₹2.59b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹55.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Jubilant FoodWorks has a market capitalization of ₹434.0b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Jubilant FoodWorks has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.3 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.6 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. We note that Jubilant FoodWorks grew its EBIT by 22% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jubilant FoodWorks can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Jubilant FoodWorks recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Jubilant FoodWorks's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. All these things considered, it appears that Jubilant FoodWorks can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jubilant FoodWorks (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.