With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.9x EIH Limited (NSE:EIHOTEL) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
EIH certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as EIH's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 179% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 25% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 25% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that EIH is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From EIH's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that EIH currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for EIH that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on EIH, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:EIHOTEL
EIH
Owns and manages hotels and cruisers under the Oberoi and Resorts brand names in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.