Stock Analysis

Is Chalet Hotels (NSE:CHALET) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:CHALET
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Chalet Hotels Limited (NSE:CHALET) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Chalet Hotels

What Is Chalet Hotels's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Chalet Hotels had ₹27.9b of debt, an increase on ₹25.3b, over one year. However, it also had ₹924.2m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹27.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:CHALET Debt to Equity History July 28th 2023

How Healthy Is Chalet Hotels' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Chalet Hotels had liabilities of ₹10.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹23.1b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹924.2m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.31b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹31.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Chalet Hotels has a market capitalization of ₹100.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Chalet Hotels has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.0 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.9 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. However, the silver lining was that Chalet Hotels achieved a positive EBIT of ₹3.4b in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Chalet Hotels can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Chalet Hotels generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 88% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

On our analysis Chalet Hotels's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, net debt to EBITDA gives us cold feet. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Chalet Hotels's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Chalet Hotels that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.