Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. So after glancing at the trends within Aptech (NSE:APTECHT), we weren't too hopeful.
We've discovered 3 warning signs about Aptech. View them for free.Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Aptech:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.068 = ₹170m ÷ (₹3.9b - ₹1.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Thus, Aptech has an ROCE of 6.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Consumer Services industry average of 12%.
View our latest analysis for Aptech
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Aptech.
So How Is Aptech's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Aptech's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. About five years ago, returns on capital were 11%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Aptech to turn into a multi-bagger.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 37%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 6.8%. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.
The Bottom Line On Aptech's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Aptech is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Since the stock has skyrocketed 121% over the last five years, it looks like investors have high expectations of the stock. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Aptech we've found 3 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
While Aptech may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.