Stock Analysis

Asian Hotels (East) Limited (NSE:AHLEAST) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 29%

NSEI:AHLEAST
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The Asian Hotels (East) Limited (NSE:AHLEAST) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 29%. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 4.1% over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, Asian Hotels (East) may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Hospitality industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 4x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Asian Hotels (East)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:AHLEAST Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 2nd 2023

What Does Asian Hotels (East)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Asian Hotels (East)'s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Asian Hotels (East)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Asian Hotels (East)'s Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Asian Hotels (East)'s to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 26%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 37% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Asian Hotels (East)'s P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On Asian Hotels (East)'s P/S

Asian Hotels (East)'s stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It's no surprise that Asian Hotels (East) maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Asian Hotels (East) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Asian Hotels (East), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.