Stock Analysis

It's Down 49% But Osia Hyper Retail Limited (NSE:OSIAHYPER) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

NSEI:OSIAHYPER
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Osia Hyper Retail Limited (NSE:OSIAHYPER) shares have had a horrible month, losing 49% after a relatively good period beforehand. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 29%, which is great even in a bull market.

Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 32x, you may consider Osia Hyper Retail as an attractive investment with its 25.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Earnings have risen firmly for Osia Hyper Retail recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Osia Hyper Retail

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:OSIAHYPER Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Osia Hyper Retail's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Osia Hyper Retail's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 150% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it odd that Osia Hyper Retail is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Osia Hyper Retail's P/E

Osia Hyper Retail's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Osia Hyper Retail currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Osia Hyper Retail (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

You might be able to find a better investment than Osia Hyper Retail. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Osia Hyper Retail is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.