Stock Analysis

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Avenue Supermarts Limited (NSE:DMART) After Its First-Quarter Report

NSEI:DMART
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Avenue Supermarts Limited (NSE:DMART) last week reported its latest first-quarter results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. Avenue Supermarts reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of ₹141b and statutory earnings per share of ₹38.93, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for Avenue Supermarts

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:DMART Earnings and Revenue Growth July 15th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Avenue Supermarts from 18 analysts is for revenues of ₹614.7b in 2025. If met, it would imply a solid 16% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 25% to ₹50.95. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹614.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹51.05 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at ₹4,765. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Avenue Supermarts at ₹5,535 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹3,276. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Avenue Supermarts'historical trends, as the 22% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 20% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 8.3% annually. So it's pretty clear that Avenue Supermarts is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Avenue Supermarts analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Avenue Supermarts you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.