Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over V.I.P. Industries Limited's (NSE:VIPIND) P/S Ratio
V.I.P. Industries Limited's (NSE:VIPIND) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Luxury industry in India have P/S ratios below 1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
See our latest analysis for V.I.P. Industries
How Has V.I.P. Industries Performed Recently?
V.I.P. Industries hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on V.I.P. Industries.How Is V.I.P. Industries' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as V.I.P. Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.5%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 26% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 10% per annum as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 12% each year, which is not materially different.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that V.I.P. Industries' P/S is higher than its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Analysts are forecasting V.I.P. Industries' revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with V.I.P. Industries, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of V.I.P. Industries' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.