Subdued Growth No Barrier To VIP Clothing Limited (NSE:VIPCLOTHNG) With Shares Advancing 30%
VIP Clothing Limited (NSE:VIPCLOTHNG) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 30% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 15% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in India's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may consider VIP Clothing as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for VIP Clothing
What Does VIP Clothing's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at VIP Clothing over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on VIP Clothing's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For VIP Clothing?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as VIP Clothing's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.1% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 27% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's alarming that VIP Clothing's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
VIP Clothing's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of VIP Clothing revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with VIP Clothing.
If you're unsure about the strength of VIP Clothing's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:VIPCLOTHNG
VIP Clothing
Engages in the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of garments in India.
Flawless balance sheet very low.