Stock Analysis

Here's Why VIP Clothing (NSE:VIPCLOTHNG) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:VIPCLOTHNG
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, VIP Clothing Limited (NSE:VIPCLOTHNG) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for VIP Clothing

How Much Debt Does VIP Clothing Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2021 VIP Clothing had debt of ₹937.1m, up from ₹747.0m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹54.6m, its net debt is less, at about ₹882.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:VIPCLOTHNG Debt to Equity History December 15th 2021

How Strong Is VIP Clothing's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, VIP Clothing had liabilities of ₹1.16b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹285.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹54.6m in cash and ₹639.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹751.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because VIP Clothing is worth ₹1.79b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

VIP Clothing shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (12.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.50 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. However, the silver lining was that VIP Clothing achieved a positive EBIT of ₹43m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since VIP Clothing will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, VIP Clothing saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both VIP Clothing's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider VIP Clothing to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for VIP Clothing you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.