Stock Analysis

We Think Vinny Overseas (NSE:VINNY) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

NSEI:VINNY
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Vinny Overseas Limited (NSE:VINNY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Vinny Overseas

What Is Vinny Overseas's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Vinny Overseas had debt of ₹141.4m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from ₹232.2m over a year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:VINNY Debt to Equity History July 12th 2022

How Strong Is Vinny Overseas' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Vinny Overseas had liabilities of ₹239.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹79.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹551.0k as well as receivables valued at ₹264.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹54.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Vinny Overseas has a market capitalization of ₹447.0m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Vinny Overseas's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Vinny Overseas had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 21%, to ₹1.1b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Vinny Overseas's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable ₹45m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of ₹44m into a profit. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Vinny Overseas (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.