Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NSEI:SPYL using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We use
analyst's estimates of cash flows going forward 5 years for the 1st stage, the 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
NSEI:SPYL DCF 1st Stage: Next 5 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Shekhawati Poly-Yarn has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Luxury industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's earnings growth to the India market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's revenue growth to the India market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Shekhawati Poly-Yarn is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Shekhawati Poly-Yarn is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's short term (1 year) commitments are greater than its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Shekhawati Poly-Yarn has negative shareholder equity (liabilities exceed assets) therefore debt is not covered by short term assets.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Mukesh Ramniranjan Ruia has been the Chairman and Managing Director of Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited since August 14, 2013 and March 2, 2010 respectively. Mr. Ruia has been a Director of Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited since March 2, 2010. He is B. Com from Mumbai University.
Mukesh's compensation has increased whilst company is loss making.
Mukesh's remuneration is about average for companies of similar size in India.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
management team in years:
The average tenure for the Shekhawati Poly-Yarn management team is over 5 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced team.
Chairman & MD
Chief Financial Officer
Company Secretary & Compliance Officer
Human Resource Officer
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The tenure for the Shekhawati Poly-Yarn board of directors is about average.
Why Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited's (NSE:SPYL) Investor Composition Impacts Your Returns
General Public Ownership A substantial ownership of 20.66% in SPYL is held by the general public. … Private Company Ownership Potential investors in SPYL should also look at another important group of investors: private companies, with a stake of 32.27%, who are primarily invested because of strategic and capital gain interests. … Thus, potential investors should look into these business relations and check how it can impact long-term shareholder returns.Next Steps: Institutional ownership in SPYL is not at a level that would concern investors.
Is Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited's (NSE:SPYL) CEO Overpaid Relative To Its Peers?
See our latest analysis for Shekhawati Poly-Yarn What has been the trend in SPYL's earnings? … In the past year, SPYL delivered negative earnings of -₹213.46M. … Usually I would use earnings and market cap to account for variations in performance, however, SPYL's negative earnings reduces the effectiveness of this method.
Does Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited's (NSE:SPYL) Earnings Growth Make It An Outperformer?
View our latest analysis for Shekhawati Poly-Yarn How Well Did SPYL Perform? … To account for any quarterly or half-yearly updates, I use data from the most recent 12 months, which annualizes the most recent half-year data, or in some cases, the latest annual report is already the most recent financial year data. … NSEI:SPYL Income Statement Apr 20th 18 We can further evaluate Shekhawati Poly-Yarn's loss by looking at what the industry has been experiencing over the past few years.
How Long Will Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited's (NSE:SPYL) Cash Last?
Additional cash raising may dilute the value of your shares, and since Shekhawati Poly-Yarn is currently burning more cash than it is making, it’s likely the business will need funding for future growth. … NSEI:SPYL Income Statement Apr 4th 18 When will Shekhawati Poly-Yarn need to raise more cash? … However, if Shekhawati Poly-Yarn continues to grow its opex at this rate, given how much money it currently has in the bank, it will need to raise capital again in 1.6 years.
Why Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited's (NSE:SPYL) Ownership Structure Is Important
This size of ownership gives retail investors collective power in deciding on major policy decisions such as executive compensation, appointment of directors and acquisitions of businesses. … This level of ownership gives retail investors the power to sway key policy decisions such as board composition, executive compensation, and potential acquisitions. … Private Company Ownership Another important group of owners for potential investors in SPYL are private companies that hold a stake of 39.81% in SPYL.
Is Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited's (NSE:SPYL) CEO Paid At A Competitive Rate?
Earnings is a powerful indication of SPYL's ability to invest shareholders' funds and generate returns. … Therefore I will use earnings as a proxy of Ruia's performance in the past year. … Normally I would use earnings and market cap to account for variations in performance, however, SPYL's negative earnings reduces the effectiveness of this method.
Has Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited (NSE:SPYL) Improved Earnings Growth In Recent Times?
After looking at Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited's (NSEI:SPYL) latest earnings update (30 September 2017), I found it helpful to revisit the company's performance in the past couple of years and compare this against the latest numbers. … Check out our latest analysis for Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Did SPYL beat its long-term earnings growth trend and its industry? … For Shekhawati Poly-Yarn, its latest earnings (trailing twelve month) is -₹331.0M, which compared to the prior year's figure, has become less negative.
Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited manufactures and sells texturizing yarns, twisting yarns, and knitted fabrics in India. The company offers roto, weft, micro, full dull, catonic, twisted TPM, and dyed yarns. Its products are used in the weaving of fabrics to manufacture suiting, shirting, dress materials, saris, hosieries, knitted fabrics, zipper fasteners, curtains, and industrial cloth products, as well as to manufacture fancy yarns for dress materials and upholstery. The company also exports its products to Argentina, Israel, Morocco, Brazil, Jordan, Peru, Canada, Kenya, Thailand, Egypt, Mexico, Turkey, Bangladesh, Belgium, Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Vietnam, Colombia, Venezuela, Ethiopia, and Poland. Shekhawati Poly-Yarn Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.