A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Sky Gold Limited's (NSE:SKYGOLD) 26% Share Price Climb
Sky Gold Limited (NSE:SKYGOLD) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Sky Gold's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 22x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Sky Gold has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing earnings at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this good earnings growth might only be parallel to the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Sky Gold
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sky Gold will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Sky Gold's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sky Gold would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.2%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 341% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it interesting that Sky Gold is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Sky Gold's P/E
Sky Gold's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Sky Gold revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Sky Gold (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Sky Gold. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SKYGOLD
Sky Gold
Designs, manufactures, assembles, cuts, polishes, markets, and sells gold and silver jewelry in India.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.