Stock Analysis

Is Siyaram Silk Mills (NSE:SIYSIL) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:SIYSIL
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Siyaram Silk Mills Limited (NSE:SIYSIL) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Siyaram Silk Mills

What Is Siyaram Silk Mills's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Siyaram Silk Mills had ₹2.12b of debt, up from ₹1.15b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₹311.7m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.80b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:SIYSIL Debt to Equity History July 23rd 2022

How Healthy Is Siyaram Silk Mills' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Siyaram Silk Mills had liabilities of ₹4.61b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.18b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹311.7m as well as receivables valued at ₹4.90b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹579.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Siyaram Silk Mills has a market capitalization of ₹26.8b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Siyaram Silk Mills has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.54. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 53.1 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Siyaram Silk Mills turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of ₹2.8b. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Siyaram Silk Mills's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Considering the last year, Siyaram Silk Mills actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Siyaram Silk Mills was the fact that it seems able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. In particular, conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gives us cold feet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Siyaram Silk Mills is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Siyaram Silk Mills (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.