Monte Carlo Fashions Limited's (NSE:MONTECARLO) investors are due to receive a payment of ₹20.00 per share on 29th of October. The dividend yield will be 3.3% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
Monte Carlo Fashions' Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last dividend, Monte Carlo Fashions is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 119% of cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 7.2% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 54% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
See our latest analysis for Monte Carlo Fashions
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ₹10.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ₹20.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 7.2% per annum over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.
Monte Carlo Fashions Could Grow Its Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. We are encouraged to see that Monte Carlo Fashions has grown earnings per share at 7.2% per year over the past five years. While on an earnings basis, this company looks appealing as an income stock, the cash payout ratio still makes us cautious.
In Summary
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Monte Carlo Fashions' payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We don't think Monte Carlo Fashions is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Monte Carlo Fashions has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about. Is Monte Carlo Fashions not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.