Stock Analysis

Maral Overseas (NSE:MARALOVER) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

NSEI:MARALOVER
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Maral Overseas Limited (NSE:MARALOVER) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Maral Overseas

What Is Maral Overseas's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Maral Overseas had ₹3.06b of debt, up from ₹1.58b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₹76.0m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹2.98b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MARALOVER Debt to Equity History February 8th 2023

How Healthy Is Maral Overseas' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Maral Overseas had liabilities of ₹2.83b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.50b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹76.0m and ₹675.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹3.57b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹2.29b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Maral Overseas would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Maral Overseas shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (9.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.16 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Maral Overseas saw its EBIT tank 97% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Maral Overseas's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Maral Overseas created free cash flow amounting to 3.5% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Maral Overseas's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its level of total liabilities also fails to instill confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Maral Overseas is carrying heavy debt load. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Maral Overseas (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.