Stock Analysis

Is Lux Industries (NSE:LUXIND) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:LUXIND
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Lux Industries Limited (NSE:LUXIND) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Lux Industries

How Much Debt Does Lux Industries Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2021 Lux Industries had ₹1.67b of debt, an increase on ₹833.9m, over one year. However, it also had ₹1.55b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹122.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:LUXIND Debt to Equity History November 25th 2021

How Strong Is Lux Industries' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Lux Industries had liabilities of ₹5.79b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹447.8m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹1.55b as well as receivables valued at ₹5.79b due within 12 months. So it can boast ₹1.11b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

Having regard to Lux Industries' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the ₹137.2b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. But either way, Lux Industries has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With debt at a measly 0.027 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 152 times, it's clear that Lux Industries is not a desperate borrower. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. Even more impressive was the fact that Lux Industries grew its EBIT by 116% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Lux Industries will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Lux Industries recorded free cash flow of 41% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Happily, Lux Industries's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Zooming out, Lux Industries seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Lux Industries (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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