Stock Analysis

Here's Why Laxmi Cotspin (NSE:LAXMICOT) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

NSEI:LAXMICOT
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Laxmi Cotspin Limited (NSE:LAXMICOT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Laxmi Cotspin

What Is Laxmi Cotspin's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Laxmi Cotspin had debt of ₹430.8m, up from ₹316.6m in one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:LAXMICOT Debt to Equity History August 31st 2022

A Look At Laxmi Cotspin's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Laxmi Cotspin had liabilities of ₹346.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹180.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹1.12m in cash and ₹154.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹370.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹422.7m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Laxmi Cotspin's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.6) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.3, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, Laxmi Cotspin's EBIT was down 29% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Laxmi Cotspin will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last two years, Laxmi Cotspin reported free cash flow worth 8.9% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Mulling over Laxmi Cotspin's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. And even its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow fails to inspire much confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Laxmi Cotspin has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Laxmi Cotspin is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 3 of those are significant...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.