Stock Analysis

Is K.P.R. Mill (NSE:KPRMILL) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:KPRMILL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that K.P.R. Mill Limited (NSE:KPRMILL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for K.P.R. Mill

How Much Debt Does K.P.R. Mill Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, K.P.R. Mill had ₹13.5b of debt, up from ₹11.9b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹2.45b, its net debt is less, at about ₹11.0b.

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NSEI:KPRMILL Debt to Equity History June 6th 2023

How Strong Is K.P.R. Mill's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that K.P.R. Mill had liabilities of ₹13.3b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹5.66b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹2.45b in cash and ₹6.25b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹10.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given K.P.R. Mill has a market capitalization of ₹208.9b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

K.P.R. Mill's net debt is only 0.83 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 14.7 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The good news is that K.P.R. Mill has increased its EBIT by 4.9% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if K.P.R. Mill can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, K.P.R. Mill actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for K.P.R. Mill was the fact that it seems able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. To be specific, it seems about as good at converting EBIT to free cash flow as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that K.P.R. Mill is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for K.P.R. Mill (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether K.P.R. Mill is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.