Gokaldas Exports Limited Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

There's been a notable change in appetite for Gokaldas Exports Limited (NSE:GOKEX) shares in the week since its quarterly report, with the stock down 12% to ₹715. It looks to have been a decent result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at ₹9.6b, statutory earnings beat expectations by a notable 17%, coming in at ₹5.56 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

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Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Gokaldas Exports' six analysts is for revenues of ₹41.4b in 2026. This reflects a reasonable 6.6% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to shrink 8.5% to ₹21.60 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹44.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹33.83 in 2026. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for Gokaldas Exports

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the ₹1,158 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Gokaldas Exports, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹1,390 and the most bearish at ₹1,020 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Gokaldas Exports' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 8.9% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 24% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 13% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Gokaldas Exports is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹1,158, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Gokaldas Exports going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You can also view our analysis of Gokaldas Exports' balance sheet, and whether we think Gokaldas Exports is carrying too much debt, for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.