Stock Analysis

Earnings Tell The Story For Gokaldas Exports Limited (NSE:GOKEX) As Its Stock Soars 25%

NSEI:GOKEX
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Gokaldas Exports Limited (NSE:GOKEX) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 25% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 32x, you may consider Gokaldas Exports as a stock to avoid entirely with its 60.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Gokaldas Exports hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Gokaldas Exports

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GOKEX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 11th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Gokaldas Exports' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Gokaldas Exports' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 17%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 63% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 40% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 19% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Gokaldas Exports is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Gokaldas Exports' P/E?

The strong share price surge has got Gokaldas Exports' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Gokaldas Exports' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Gokaldas Exports (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Gokaldas Exports' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.