Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Ginni Filaments (NSE:GINNIFILA) Is Using Debt Extensively

NSEI:GINNIFILA
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Ginni Filaments Limited (NSE:GINNIFILA) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ginni Filaments

What Is Ginni Filaments's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Ginni Filaments had ₹3.25b of debt, up from ₹2.28b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹95.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹3.16b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GINNIFILA Debt to Equity History May 10th 2022

How Healthy Is Ginni Filaments' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ginni Filaments had liabilities of ₹3.55b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.29b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹95.3m in cash and ₹1.45b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹3.29b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹3.73b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Ginni Filaments' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Ginni Filaments has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.8 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The good news is that Ginni Filaments improved its EBIT by 6.2% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ginni Filaments will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Ginni Filaments reported free cash flow worth 6.8% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Ginni Filaments's level of total liabilities and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Ginni Filaments has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Ginni Filaments (including 2 which are potentially serious) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.