Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Garware Technical Fibres Limited (NSE:GARFIBRES) With Shares Advancing 28%

NSEI:GARFIBRES
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The Garware Technical Fibres Limited (NSE:GARFIBRES) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 31%.

Since its price has surged higher, Garware Technical Fibres may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.4x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 32x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Garware Technical Fibres' earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this modest earnings performance will accelerate. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Garware Technical Fibres

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GARFIBRES Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 19th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Garware Technical Fibres.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Garware Technical Fibres' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 22% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 36% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 15% per year during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 21% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Garware Technical Fibres is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

The large bounce in Garware Technical Fibres' shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Garware Technical Fibres' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Garware Technical Fibres with six simple checks.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.