Stock Analysis

Axita Cotton Limited (NSE:AXITA) Stock Rockets 27% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

NSEI:AXITA
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Axita Cotton Limited (NSE:AXITA) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 33% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Axita Cotton's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 29x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Axita Cotton has been doing very well. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Axita Cotton

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:AXITA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Axita Cotton's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Axita Cotton would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 49% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 8,142% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Axita Cotton's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Axita Cotton appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Axita Cotton revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Axita Cotton (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Axita Cotton. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.