Stock Analysis
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited's (NSE:AMBIKCO) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited's (NSE:AMBIKCO) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.8x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 66x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Ambika Cotton Mills over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Ambika Cotton Mills
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ambika Cotton Mills will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Ambika Cotton Mills' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 44%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 7.3% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ambika Cotton Mills' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From Ambika Cotton Mills' P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Ambika Cotton Mills maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Ambika Cotton Mills (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Ambika Cotton Mills' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:AMBIKCO
Ambika Cotton Mills
Engages in the manufacturing and sale of specialty cotton yarns, waste cotton, and knitted fabrics in India, Europe, Africa, North America, and other Asian countries.