Amber Enterprises India Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

It's been a mediocre week for Amber Enterprises India Limited (NSE:AMBER) shareholders, with the stock dropping 20% to ₹3,604 in the week since its latest quarterly results. It looks like a pretty bad result, given that revenues fell 17% short of analyst estimates at ₹13b, and the company reported a statutory loss of ₹0.14 per share instead of the profit that the analysts had been forecasting. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Amber Enterprises India after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Amber Enterprises India

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Amber Enterprises India from 19 analysts is for revenues of ₹89.7b in 2025. If met, it would imply a sizeable 29% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 96% to ₹82.59. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹94.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹90.00 in 2025. The analysts are less bullish than they were before these results, given the reduced revenue forecasts and the small dip in earnings per share expectations.

What's most unexpected is that the consensus price target rose 6.4% to ₹3,457, strongly implying the downgrade to forecasts is not expected to be more than a temporary blip. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Amber Enterprises India at ₹4,385 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹2,316. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 23% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 21% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 16% annually. So although Amber Enterprises India is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Amber Enterprises India. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Amber Enterprises India analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Amber Enterprises India (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.