Stock Analysis

Is Weakness In Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Corporation Limited (NSE:IRCTC) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

NSEI:IRCTC
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Indian Railway Catering & Tourism (NSE:IRCTC) has had a rough three months with its share price down 12%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Indian Railway Catering & Tourism's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Indian Railway Catering & Tourism

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Indian Railway Catering & Tourism is:

34% = ₹12b ÷ ₹35b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every ₹1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn ₹0.34 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Indian Railway Catering & Tourism's Earnings Growth And 34% ROE

To begin with, Indian Railway Catering & Tourism has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 12% which is quite remarkable. As a result, Indian Railway Catering & Tourism's exceptional 30% net income growth seen over the past five years, doesn't come as a surprise.

Next, on comparing Indian Railway Catering & Tourism's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 30% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:IRCTC Past Earnings Growth January 8th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Indian Railway Catering & Tourism's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Indian Railway Catering & Tourism has a three-year median payout ratio of 43% (where it is retaining 57% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. So it seems that Indian Railway Catering & Tourism is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Additionally, Indian Railway Catering & Tourism has paid dividends over a period of five years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 54% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Indian Railway Catering & Tourism's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.