Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Corporation Limited

NSEI:IRCTC Stock Report

Market Cap: ₹640.1b

Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Valuation

Is IRCTC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IRCTC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IRCTC (₹793.85) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹328)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IRCTC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IRCTC?

Key metric: As IRCTC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IRCTC. This is calculated by dividing IRCTC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IRCTC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio52.9x
Earnings₹12.00b
Market Cap₹640.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IRCTC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IRCTC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average58.9x
CMSINFO CMS Info Systems
22.1x16.4%₹77.7b
GKWLIMITED GKW
144.4xn/a₹17.4b
UDS Updater Services
27.2x27.8%₹26.6b
LTTS L&T Technology Services
41.7x13.4%₹543.3b
IRCTC Indian Railway Catering & Tourism
52.9x17.3%₹640.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IRCTC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.9x) compared to the peer average (58.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IRCTC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Commercial Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
509650 Hindustan Housing
0.04xn/aUS$11.45k
No more companies available in this PE range
IRCTC 52.9xIndustry Avg. 27.8xNo. of Companies9PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IRCTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.9x) compared to the Indian Commercial Services industry average (27.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IRCTC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IRCTC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio52.9x
Fair PE Ratio48x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: IRCTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IRCTC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹793.85
₹834.57
+5.1%
23.6%₹1,200.00₹550.00n/a7
Nov ’25₹831.75
₹857.86
+3.1%
24.9%₹1,200.00₹540.00n/a7
Oct ’25₹931.15
₹857.86
-7.9%
24.9%₹1,200.00₹540.00n/a7
Sep ’25₹932.80
₹857.86
-8.0%
24.9%₹1,200.00₹540.00n/a7
Aug ’25₹980.50
₹879.86
-10.3%
26.5%₹1,200.00₹530.00n/a7
Jul ’25₹992.85
₹879.86
-11.4%
26.5%₹1,200.00₹530.00n/a7
Jun ’25₹1,020.35
₹873.00
-14.4%
27.6%₹1,200.00₹530.00n/a7
May ’25₹1,038.75
₹816.14
-21.4%
23.4%₹1,080.00₹530.00n/a7
Apr ’25₹970.15
₹801.13
-17.4%
22.6%₹1,080.00₹530.00n/a8
Mar ’25₹929.30
₹801.13
-13.8%
22.6%₹1,080.00₹530.00n/a8
Feb ’25₹963.30
₹703.63
-27.0%
24.6%₹1,080.00₹450.00n/a8
Jan ’25₹891.85
₹663.38
-25.6%
20.8%₹900.00₹450.00n/a8
Dec ’24₹701.30
₹663.38
-5.4%
20.8%₹900.00₹450.00n/a8
Nov ’24₹652.85
₹650.25
-0.4%
22.3%₹900.00₹440.00₹831.758
Oct ’24₹680.85
₹650.25
-4.5%
22.3%₹900.00₹440.00₹931.158
Sep ’24₹688.35
₹614.57
-10.7%
19.1%₹745.00₹440.00₹932.807
Aug ’24₹642.75
₹597.17
-7.1%
20.0%₹740.00₹420.00₹980.506
Jul ’24₹635.10
₹597.17
-6.0%
20.0%₹740.00₹420.00₹992.856
Jun ’24₹649.50
₹597.17
-8.1%
20.0%₹740.00₹420.00₹1,020.356
May ’24₹617.80
₹578.83
-6.3%
21.0%₹750.00₹400.00₹1,038.756
Apr ’24₹572.80
₹582.50
+1.7%
21.4%₹750.00₹400.00₹970.156
Mar ’24₹611.35
₹582.50
-4.7%
21.4%₹750.00₹400.00₹929.306
Feb ’24₹628.05
₹588.33
-6.3%
26.8%₹855.00₹380.00₹963.306
Jan ’24₹639.70
₹599.50
-6.3%
25.2%₹855.00₹380.00₹891.856
Dec ’23₹731.95
₹599.50
-18.1%
25.2%₹855.00₹380.00₹701.306
Nov ’23₹742.25
₹570.67
-23.1%
22.8%₹804.00₹390.00₹652.856

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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