Stock Analysis

Does Zuari Global (NSE:ZUARIGLOB) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:ZUARIIND
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Zuari Global Limited (NSE:ZUARIGLOB) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Zuari Global

What Is Zuari Global's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Zuari Global had ₹19.9b in debt in March 2021; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₹2.64b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹17.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ZUARIGLOB Debt to Equity History July 27th 2021

How Strong Is Zuari Global's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zuari Global had liabilities of ₹13.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹16.8b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹2.64b in cash and ₹1.10b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹26.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹4.32b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Zuari Global would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Zuari Global shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (30.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.14 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that Zuari Global saw its EBIT drop by 19% over the last twelve months. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Zuari Global's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Zuari Global saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Zuari Global's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. It looks to us like Zuari Global carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Zuari Global (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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