Triveni Turbine's (NSE:TRITURBINE) five-year earnings growth trails the fantastic shareholder returns
Long term investing can be life changing when you buy and hold the truly great businesses. While the best companies are hard to find, but they can generate massive returns over long periods. To wit, the Triveni Turbine Limited (NSE:TRITURBINE) share price has soared 809% over five years. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. It's also up 13% in about a month. We note that Triveni Turbine reported its financial results recently; luckily, you can catch up on the latest revenue and profit numbers in our company report. We love happy stories like this one. The company should be really proud of that performance!
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During five years of share price growth, Triveni Turbine achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 24% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 55% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This favorable sentiment is reflected in its (fairly optimistic) P/E ratio of 49.83.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that Triveni Turbine has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Triveni Turbine the TSR over the last 5 years was 838%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Triveni Turbine provided a TSR of 1.2% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 56% a year, over half a decade) look better. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Triveni Turbine is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Triveni Turbine might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.