Stock Analysis

Is It Time To Consider Buying Triveni Turbine Limited (NSE:TRITURBINE)?

NSEI:TRITURBINE
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While Triveni Turbine Limited (NSE:TRITURBINE) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NSEI over the last few months. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s take a look at Triveni Turbine’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Triveni Turbine

What's the opportunity in Triveni Turbine?

Triveni Turbine appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 39.37x is currently well-above the industry average of 24x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. In addition to this, it seems like Triveni Turbine’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

Can we expect growth from Triveni Turbine?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:TRITURBINE Earnings and Revenue Growth June 4th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Triveni Turbine's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 77%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? TRITURBINE’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe TRITURBINE should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TRITURBINE for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for TRITURBINE, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Triveni Turbine, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Triveni Turbine you should be aware of.

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Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Triveni Turbine is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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