Stock Analysis

Is Texmaco Rail & Engineering (NSE:TEXRAIL) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:TEXRAIL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk. It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Texmaco Rail & Engineering Limited (NSE:TEXRAIL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Texmaco Rail & Engineering

What Is Texmaco Rail & Engineering's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2019, Texmaco Rail & Engineering had ₹5.74b of debt, up from ₹5.22b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹1.18b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹4.56b.

NSEI:TEXRAIL Historical Debt, October 2nd 2019
NSEI:TEXRAIL Historical Debt, October 2nd 2019

A Look At Texmaco Rail & Engineering's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Texmaco Rail & Engineering had liabilities of ₹14.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹566.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹1.18b in cash and ₹12.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.40b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Texmaco Rail & Engineering has a market capitalization of ₹10.6b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Texmaco Rail & Engineering's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.6) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.0, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The silver lining is that Texmaco Rail & Engineering grew its EBIT by 129% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Texmaco Rail & Engineering can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Texmaco Rail & Engineering saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Neither Texmaco Rail & Engineering's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Texmaco Rail & Engineering is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Texmaco Rail & Engineering's earnings per share history for free.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

About NSEI:TEXRAIL

Texmaco Rail & Engineering

Manufactures, sells, and provides services for rail and rail related products in India and internationally.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.

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