Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Sona Machinery Limited (NSE:SONAMAC)

NSEI:SONAMAC
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.7x Sona Machinery Limited (NSE:SONAMAC) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 35x and even P/E's higher than 65x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Sona Machinery as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Sona Machinery

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SONAMAC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 11th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sona Machinery, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Sona Machinery?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Sona Machinery's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 33%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 2,630% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it odd that Sona Machinery is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Sona Machinery currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Sona Machinery (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sona Machinery, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.