What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Skipper (NSE:SKIPPER) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Skipper, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = ₹1.3b ÷ (₹22b - ₹11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Thus, Skipper has an ROCE of 12%. By itself that's a normal return on capital and it's in line with the industry's average returns of 12%.
Check out our latest analysis for Skipper
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Skipper's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Skipper, check out these free graphs here.
SWOT Analysis for Skipper
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
- Debt is well covered by cash flow.
- Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Construction market.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine SKIPPER's earnings prospects.
- No apparent threats visible for SKIPPER.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Skipper Tell Us?
In terms of Skipper's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 28%, but since then they've fallen to 12%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
Another thing to note, Skipper has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 52%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
Our Take On Skipper's ROCE
While returns have fallen for Skipper in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 53% in the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Skipper we've found 3 warning signs (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
While Skipper may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SKIPPER
Skipper
Manufactures and sells transmission and distribution structures, telecom towers, and fasteners in India.
Reasonable growth potential with proven track record.