Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shakti Pumps (India) Limited (NSE:SHAKTIPUMP) With Shares Advancing 31%
Shakti Pumps (India) Limited (NSE:SHAKTIPUMP) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 304% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 30x, you may consider Shakti Pumps (India) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 65.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Earnings have risen firmly for Shakti Pumps (India) recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Shakti Pumps (India)
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shakti Pumps (India)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shakti Pumps (India)'s Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Shakti Pumps (India)'s is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. The latest three year period has also seen a 28% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shakti Pumps (India)'s P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has got Shakti Pumps (India)'s P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Shakti Pumps (India) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Shakti Pumps (India) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shakti Pumps (India), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SHAKTIPUMP
Shakti Pumps (India)
Engages in the manufacture, trade, and sale of pumps, motors, and their spare parts under the Shakti brand name in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.