Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Polycab India Limited (NSE:POLYCAB)?

Published
April 28, 2022
NSEI:POLYCAB
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Polycab India Limited (NSE:POLYCAB), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NSEI over the last few months. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Polycab India’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Polycab India

What is Polycab India worth?

According to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 45.23x is currently well-above the industry average of 19.02x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. Another thing to keep in mind is that Polycab India’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards the levels of its industry peers over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard for it to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What kind of growth will Polycab India generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:POLYCAB Earnings and Revenue Growth April 28th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Polycab India's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 61%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in POLYCAB’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe POLYCAB should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on POLYCAB for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for POLYCAB, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Polycab India you should be mindful of and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If you are no longer interested in Polycab India, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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