Stock Analysis

Is Murudeshwar Ceramics (NSE:MURUDCERA) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:MURUDCERA
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Murudeshwar Ceramics Ltd. (NSE:MURUDCERA) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Murudeshwar Ceramics's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Murudeshwar Ceramics had ₹1.18b of debt, an increase on ₹895.5m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹72.5m, its net debt is less, at about ₹1.11b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MURUDCERA Debt to Equity History March 13th 2024

How Healthy Is Murudeshwar Ceramics' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Murudeshwar Ceramics had liabilities of ₹1.33b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹675.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹72.5m in cash and ₹176.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.75b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Murudeshwar Ceramics has a market capitalization of ₹3.05b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Murudeshwar Ceramics's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.6) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.0, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that Murudeshwar Ceramics improved its EBIT by 4.2% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Murudeshwar Ceramics will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Murudeshwar Ceramics saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Murudeshwar Ceramics's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Murudeshwar Ceramics's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Murudeshwar Ceramics that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.