Stock Analysis

MSTC Limited (NSE:MSTCLTD) Stock Rockets 66% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

NSEI:MSTCLTD
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MSTC Limited (NSE:MSTCLTD) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 66% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 261% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think MSTC's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 32x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

For instance, MSTC's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

View our latest analysis for MSTC

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:MSTCLTD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 6th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for MSTC, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is MSTC's Growth Trending?

MSTC's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 9.9%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 256% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that MSTC is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now MSTC's P/E is also back up to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that MSTC currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

You need to take note of risks, for example - MSTC has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on MSTC, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MSTC is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.