Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Modison Limited's (NSE:MODISONLTD) 26% Price Drop

NSEI:MODISONLTD
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The Modison Limited (NSE:MODISONLTD) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 72%, which is great even in a bull market.

After such a large drop in price, Modison's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 56x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Modison certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Modison

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:MODISONLTD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 13th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Modison's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Modison?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Modison would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 178%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 20% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's understandable that Modison's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Modison's P/E?

Modison's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Modison revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Modison (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Modison. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Modison is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.