If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Modison Metals (NSE:MODISNME) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Modison Metals is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = ₹262m ÷ (₹2.1b - ₹344m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
Therefore, Modison Metals has an ROCE of 15%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Electrical industry average of 13%.
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Modison Metals' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Modison Metals' past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of Modison Metals' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 20%, but since then they've fallen to 15%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Modison Metals is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 11% to shareholders over the last year. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
One more thing, we've spotted 3 warning signs facing Modison Metals that you might find interesting.
While Modison Metals isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.