Stock Analysis
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Megatherm Induction's (NSE:MEGATHERM) Earnings
Investors were disappointed with Megatherm Induction Limited's (NSE:MEGATHERM) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. We did some digging and found some worrying underlying problems.
See our latest analysis for Megatherm Induction
Examining Cashflow Against Megatherm Induction's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to September 2024, Megatherm Induction had an accrual ratio of 0.27. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of ₹53m despite its profit of ₹224.4m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Megatherm Induction generated positive FCF of ₹81m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Megatherm Induction.
Our Take On Megatherm Induction's Profit Performance
Megatherm Induction didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Megatherm Induction's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Megatherm Induction at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Megatherm Induction you should be mindful of and 1 of them is significant.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Megatherm Induction's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MEGATHERM
Megatherm Induction
Manufactures and sells induction heating and melting products in India and internationally.