Mahindra EPC Irrigation Limited (NSE:MAHEPC) Shares Fly 28% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Mahindra EPC Irrigation Limited (NSE:MAHEPC) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 7.9% isn't as impressive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Mahindra EPC Irrigation may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
See our latest analysis for Mahindra EPC Irrigation
How Mahindra EPC Irrigation Has Been Performing
For instance, Mahindra EPC Irrigation's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Mahindra EPC Irrigation will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Mahindra EPC Irrigation, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Mahindra EPC Irrigation's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.3% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 15% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Mahindra EPC Irrigation's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Mahindra EPC Irrigation's P/S Mean For Investors?
Mahindra EPC Irrigation's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Mahindra EPC Irrigation revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Mahindra EPC Irrigation is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those make us uncomfortable.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MAHEPC
Mahindra EPC Irrigation
Manufactures, sells, and markets micro irrigation systems in India and Uganda.
Excellent balance sheet slight.