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The three-year decline in earnings might be taking its toll on Kalpataru Projects International (NSE:KPIL) shareholders as stock falls 5.7% over the past week
Kalpataru Projects International Limited (NSE:KPIL) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 18% in the last month. But that doesn't undermine the rather lovely longer-term return, if you measure over the last three years. In fact, the share price is up a full 161% compared to three years ago. After a run like that some may not be surprised to see prices moderate. The thing to consider is whether the underlying business is doing well enough to support the current price.
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 5.7%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Kalpataru Projects International
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Over the last three years, Kalpataru Projects International failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 11% (annualized).
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.
The modest 0.8% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It may well be that Kalpataru Projects International revenue growth rate of 13% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth, and maybe shareholder's faith in better days ahead will be rewarded.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
This free interactive report on Kalpataru Projects International's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Kalpataru Projects International, it has a TSR of 171% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Kalpataru Projects International shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 33% over one year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 21% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Kalpataru Projects International is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
Of course Kalpataru Projects International may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kalpataru Projects International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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About NSEI:KPIL
Kalpataru Projects International
Provides engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) services for power transmission and distribution, buildings and factories, water, railways, oil and gas and urban infrastructure sectors in India and internationally.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.