Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Kalpataru Projects International Limited (NSE:KPIL) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Kalpataru Projects International
How Much Debt Does Kalpataru Projects International Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Kalpataru Projects International had ₹38.7b of debt in September 2023, down from ₹42.2b, one year before. However, it also had ₹6.15b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹32.6b.
How Strong Is Kalpataru Projects International's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kalpataru Projects International had liabilities of ₹136.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹21.2b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹6.15b as well as receivables valued at ₹48.5b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹103.2b.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹123.3b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Kalpataru Projects International's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While Kalpataru Projects International has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.4, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.3. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. If Kalpataru Projects International can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 12% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kalpataru Projects International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Kalpataru Projects International created free cash flow amounting to 15% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
Mulling over Kalpataru Projects International's attempt at covering its interest expense with its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Kalpataru Projects International's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Kalpataru Projects International (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KPIL
Kalpataru Projects International
Provides engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) services for power transmission and distribution, buildings and factories, water, railways, oil and gas and urban infrastructure sectors in India and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.