Kirloskar Oil Engines (NSE:KIRLOSENG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Kirloskar Oil Engines Limited (NSE:KIRLOSENG) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Kirloskar Oil Engines's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Kirloskar Oil Engines had ₹19.6b of debt, up from ₹8.43b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹8.18b, its net debt is less, at about ₹11.5b.
How Strong Is Kirloskar Oil Engines' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Kirloskar Oil Engines had liabilities of ₹17.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹11.7b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹8.18b in cash and ₹14.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹6.42b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Kirloskar Oil Engines has a market capitalization of ₹26.5b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Kirloskar Oil Engines has net debt worth 2.3 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 3.7 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. We saw Kirloskar Oil Engines grow its EBIT by 7.9% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kirloskar Oil Engines will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Kirloskar Oil Engines saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Kirloskar Oil Engines's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its EBIT growth rate is relatively strong. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Kirloskar Oil Engines is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Kirloskar Oil Engines you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About NSEI:KIRLOSENG
Kirloskar Oil Engines
Manufactures and distributes diesel engines, agricultural pump sets, electric pump sets, power tillers, generating sets, and spares in India and internationally.
Good value with proven track record.