Stock Analysis

Is Jain Irrigation Systems (NSE:JISLDVREQS) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:JISLDVREQS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Jain Irrigation Systems Limited (NSE:JISLDVREQS) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Jain Irrigation Systems

What Is Jain Irrigation Systems's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Jain Irrigation Systems had ₹38.2b of debt at September 2023, down from ₹67.3b a year prior. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:JISLDVREQS Debt to Equity History January 22nd 2024

How Healthy Is Jain Irrigation Systems' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jain Irrigation Systems had liabilities of ₹42.7b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹14.5b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹738.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹21.6b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹34.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹43.9b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.8 hit our confidence in Jain Irrigation Systems like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. On the other hand, Jain Irrigation Systems grew its EBIT by 30% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Jain Irrigation Systems's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Jain Irrigation Systems recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Both Jain Irrigation Systems's interest cover and its net debt to EBITDA were discouraging. But at least its EBIT growth rate is a gleaming silver lining to those clouds. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Jain Irrigation Systems's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Jain Irrigation Systems that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jain Irrigation Systems is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.