Stock Analysis

Ircon International Limited's (NSE:IRCON) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 40%

NSEI:IRCON
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Ircon International Limited (NSE:IRCON) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 40% share price jump in the last month. The annual gain comes to 274% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, Ircon International may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.2x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 31x and even P/E's higher than 60x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Ircon International certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Ircon International

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:IRCON Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 20th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Ircon International's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Ircon International?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ircon International would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 27%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 135% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 1.1% per annum as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 19% each year.

In light of this, it's understandable that Ircon International's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Ircon International's P/E?

Despite Ircon International's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Ircon International's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Ircon International (1 is concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ircon International, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.